Global logistics directors see a 2023 recession as ‘likely’ or ‘certain’

Bath, UK: Nearly 70% of global logistics companies say they are bracing for recession amid higher costs, slowing demand, and ongoing supply chain disruption, as a result of China’s battle to contain Covid, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and the impact of climate change.

And 90% of the 750 respondents to a survey for the 2023 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index also say their shipping, storage and other logistics costs remain well above the pre-pandemic levels they were at in early 2020.

“Carriers and shippers are feeling the effects of higher energy prices, tight labour markets and broader inflation even though freight rates have fallen and ports have cleared cargo backlogs,” said Agility vice chairman Tarek Sultan. “Three years after the start of the pandemic, there is still a lot of volatility in supply chains. Now there’s fresh uncertainty as consumers and businesses pull back on spending and hiring.”

The index was compiled by Ti Insights, an analysis and research firm for the logistics industry.